Understand the evidence. Make your own decisions.
Explore sourced news, upcoming economic events and our recorded model results.
Assess what changed, what was already expected and what could challenge your interpretation.
Generated: 2026-09-29 09:34 UTC
Research over weeks and months
Historical study: exploratory, hypothetical and not qualified.
Archived daily forecasts held longer; not weekly/monthly model performance or actual account returns.
20 issue dates: 2026-08-28 through 2026-09-25.
Outcomes through 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC; reviewed 2026-09-27.
Fixed snapshot; pending cases do not update automatically.
Mean complete-basket returns after 0.10% costs per side
| Sessions held | Basket | SPY | Random baskets |
|---|
| 5 | -0.80% | +0.39% | -0.33% |
|---|
| 10 | +1.36% | +0.82% | -0.53% |
|---|
| 20 | Pending | Pending | Pending |
|---|
| 60 | Pending | Pending | Pending |
|---|
- 5 sessions: 9 complete, 5 incomplete, 6 pending. Positive: 3/9; beat SPY: 2/9.
- 10 sessions: 4 complete, 5 incomplete, 11 pending. Positive: 3/4; beat SPY: 2/4.
- 20 sessions: 0 complete, 0 incomplete, 20 pending.
- 60 sessions: 0 complete, 0 incomplete, 20 pending.
5 of 20 original comparison universes are invalid
because they include outdated security identities, affecting every horizon, including pending cases.
Matured comparisons remain incomplete; no names were dropped or replaced. Complete-subset averages may be biased.
These are separate, overlapping baskets, not independent trials or a compounded account return.
On the same 4 issue dates, mean returns were -0.50% at five sessions
and +1.36% at ten. This comparison was added after viewing the first aggregate results;
four overlapping observations cannot establish that longer holds work better.
Selection: up to ten bullish daily forecasts by saved score, then ticker; equal weights;
next NYSE session open; fixed holding period. Scores are not calibrated probabilities.
SPY and 100 random baskets use the same complete dates and costs. Random selections come from eligible
forecast rows, not the whole market; sector and market sensitivity are not matched.
Splits and dividend receivables are included, without reinvestment or cash interest.
Cost sensitivity at 0% / 0.10% / 0.25% per side: 5 sessions: -0.60% / -0.80% / -1.10%; 10 sessions: +1.56% / +1.36% / +1.06%.
Original publication times and feature availability remain unverified; this new rule does not reconstruct
the original email portfolio. This basket study does not measure a continuously funded calendar account.
Four-week follow-up — separate data snapshot, not qualified
August 31–September 28, 2026: research returned -2.82%,
versus SPY +0.18% and random accounts averaging -4.95%,
after 0.10% per purchase/sale. It lost money and trailed SPY; beating random baskets does not establish an edge.
Monthly results remain pending until the October 1 endpoint is measured. This is not this edition's return.
The provider changed 335 historical rows, including
115 with raw-price changes. The strict extension therefore withholds returns.
The separately planned calculation below uses the complete new data snapshot and the same frozen baskets.
It does not replace the earlier report. Earlier-window net-return differences are
0.00 percentage points across all 18 comparisons.
Four completed periods: costs per purchase/sale, including final liquidation
| Account | 0% | 0.10% |
0.25% |
|---|
| Research baskets | -2.04% | -2.82% | -3.98% |
|---|
| SPY buy-and-hold | +0.38% | +0.18% | -0.12% |
|---|
| Fixed-universe buy-and-hold | -3.82% | -4.01% | -4.30% |
|---|
| SPY with research allocation/rebalancing | +0.38% | -0.42% | -1.61% |
|---|
| Fixed universe with research allocation/rebalancing | -3.83% | -4.59% | -5.73% |
|---|
| 100 random funded accounts, mean | -4.18% | -4.95% | -6.08% |
|---|
The $10,000 research account ends at $9,717.59:
$9,711.27 cash plus $6.32 unpaid dividends.
Costs total $78.40; drawdown at observed marks is -3.89%.
All books now include final sale costs. No actual fills or subscriber performance are claimed.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 20:00 UTC; observed: 2026-09-29 01:53 UTC.
This fixed snapshot does not mature automatically. Both plans are post-inspection; the revised population
excludes three known identity conflicts. Publication, original inputs and complete eligibility are unverified.
Four periods are insufficient to establish durable skill. Controls are not sector- or beta-matched;
related random draws are not independent evidence. Tariff, rate, inflation and dip timing were not tested.
Both complete twelve-case records, including rejected and pending results.
Each line covers 0%, 0.10% and 0.25% costs per side:
- Strict extension; Original (238 names); weekly; all three costs: incomplete; 4/4 periods matured, 0 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Strict extension; Original (238 names); monthly; all three costs: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Strict extension; Revised (235 names); weekly; all three costs: incomplete; 4/4 periods matured, 0 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
- Strict extension; Revised (235 names); monthly; all three costs: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
- Separate new data snapshot; Original (238 names); weekly; all three costs: incomplete; 4/4 periods matured, 0 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Separate new data snapshot; Original (238 names); monthly; all three costs: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Separate new data snapshot; Revised (235 names); weekly; all three costs: measured; not qualified; 4/4 periods matured, 0 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
- Separate new data snapshot; Revised (235 names); monthly; all three costs: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
Funded weekly/monthly study — exploratory, hypothetical, not qualified
The revised weekly research account returned -1.79%
after 0.10% costs per purchase and sale, versus SPY buy-and-hold +0.01%.
This short study does not establish a profitable or predictive edge. Monthly results remain pending.
Measured window: 2026-08-31 13:30 UTC to 2026-09-21 13:30 UTC;
3 of 4 weekly periods completed.
Fixed outcome cutoff: 2026-09-25 20:00 UTC; evidence observed 2026-09-28 00:17 UTC.
Pending cases do not update automatically. This is a historical appendix, not this edition's weekly return.
Each account starts with $10,000.00 once, with no later contributions,
borrowing or shorting. Research selects up to ten bullish daily forecasts by saved score within a fixed
population, equally weighted, entering at the next session open and holding to the next calendar boundary.
Scores are not calibrated probabilities. These are not weekly/monthly model forecasts or actual subscriber returns.
Same-window funded returns at three costs per side
| Account | 0% | 0.10% |
0.25% |
|---|
| Research baskets | -1.20% | -1.79% | -2.67% |
|---|
| SPY buy-and-hold | +0.11% | +0.01% | -0.14% |
|---|
| Fixed-universe buy-and-hold | -2.59% | -2.69% | -2.84% |
|---|
| SPY with research allocation/rebalancing | +0.11% | -0.49% | -1.38% |
|---|
| Fixed universe with research allocation/rebalancing | -2.55% | -3.13% | -4.00% |
|---|
| 100 random funded accounts, mean | -2.91% | -3.49% | -4.36% |
|---|
Ending research value at primary costs: $9,821.21, comprising
$9,811.16 spendable cash and $10.05
unpaid dividend receivables. Modeled costs: $58.88; maximum drawdown
at observed marks: -3.89%, not every intraday trough.
Splits and dividend payment timing are included; cash earns zero interest.
The partial valuation follows the September 21 research sale and precedes its next purchase.
Buy-and-hold controls remain invested and have not paid a final exit cost. September 21–25 performance
is excluded. Allocation-matched controls use the research trading schedule. Random accounts use the same
period and costs; their mean is not a probability of success. Controls are not sector- or beta-matched.
All twelve cases, including incomplete and pending results:
- Original, 238 names; weekly; 10 bps per side: incomplete; 3/4 periods matured, 1 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Original, 238 names; weekly; 0 bps per side: incomplete; 3/4 periods matured, 1 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Original, 238 names; weekly; 25 bps per side: incomplete; 3/4 periods matured, 1 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Original, 238 names; monthly; 10 bps per side: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Original, 238 names; monthly; 0 bps per side: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Original, 238 names; monthly; 25 bps per side: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 3 known identity conflicts.
- Revised, 235 names; weekly; 10 bps per side: partial; 3/4 periods matured, 1 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
- Revised, 235 names; weekly; 0 bps per side: partial; 3/4 periods matured, 1 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
- Revised, 235 names; weekly; 25 bps per side: partial; 3/4 periods matured, 1 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
- Revised, 235 names; monthly; 10 bps per side: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
- Revised, 235 names; monthly; 0 bps per side: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
- Revised, 235 names; monthly; 25 bps per side: pending; 0/1 periods matured, 1 pending; 0 known identity conflicts.
The revised population excludes three documented identity conflicts from the original 238 names.
Original cases remain visible; this does not certify eligibility of the other 235 names. The plan was
fixed before these funded calculations but after viewing earlier cohort results and identity findings.
This post-inspection amendment, small sample and related observations prevent a skill claim.
Original publication timing, input availability and complete historical eligibility remain unverified.
Longer holding and dip timing still require separate prospective tests.
For tariffs, interest rates and inflation, separate the announcement
from its effective date and compare the news with prior expectations. A price reaction
can reverse; a known event does not establish a safe exit or re-entry.
Daily model record — Monday, Sep 28, 2026
131/287 correct — 45.6%
BEARISH 89/146 (61.0%) vs BULLISH 42/141 (29.8%)
Source: stored model predictions and graded outcomes, latest per ticker for this session.
Accuracy covers all 287 graded tickers, including incorrect calls. Ungraded outcomes are excluded.
This is one session's direction accuracy, not portfolio performance or a weekly/monthly
buy-and-hold result. A 50% coin flip is only one baseline; class balance, a same-window
benchmark and costs are also needed to assess value. Tickers can move together.
News and sources
Headlines report source views; they are not MoneySignals trade instructions.
📰 MARKET-RELEVANT NEWS
💼 Business & Markets:
🏛️ Economy & Fed:
🇺🇸 US News:
🌍 World News:
💻 Technology:
📊 31 of 33 headlines shown
Market calendar rules and exchange schedules
US release schedule pins through 2026-12-31; selected releases only.
Importance is MoneySignals editorial classification; schedules can change.
Selected agency and company schedules and exchange-calendar rules; not a complete global calendar. Congressional hearings are not included.
Economic calendar — 2026-09-30Selected global economic and policy events.
- Personal Income & Outlays (PCE) — August data
08:30 EDT (America/New_York)
Pinned from the official agency release schedule.
- GDP — third estimate, Q2 2026
08:30 EDT (America/New_York)
Pinned from the official agency release schedule.
US release schedule pins through 2026-12-31; selected releases only.
Importance is MoneySignals editorial classification. These are schedule facts; actual, forecast and previous values are not supplied. Source review dates are not live update times. Schedules can change.
Model data coverage
Tickers examined: 288; with model outputs: 288.
Daily: 288; weekly: 0; monthly: 0.
These counts describe available outputs, not qualified findings or demonstrated returns.
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⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS
📊 RESEARCH CONTEXT:
News, economic schedules and model results are inputs to your own investigation.
A source's opinion is not a verified finding, and a scheduled event does not establish
the direction of the market's response.
💰 FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. The information provided is not intended to be used as the sole basis for any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal.
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🤖 AUTOMATED ANALYSIS:
This report is generated by automated systems using machine learning models. These models have limitations and may produce inaccurate results. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.
📈 PERFORMANCE CONTEXT:
Direction accuracy measures correct direction labels. It is not a return on invested capital.
A holding-period study must separately account for entry and exit timing, distributions,
costs, cash and a comparable benchmark. Model scores alone do not establish profitable returns.
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