MoneySignals Daily Predictions · Top Predictions
2026-08-28 (Friday) · secret tier
Tickers
374
With Signals
374
Daily
374
Weekly
0
Monthly
0

Generated: 2026-08-27 05:36:20 EST

01 โ€” MODEL SCORECARD
How Our Picks Did — Wednesday, Aug 26
5/10 correct — 50% BULLISH calls 50%
Ticker Predicted Conf Actual Result Return
IRM ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH +0.44%
KEY ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH +0.91%
EFX ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH -0.69%
IFF ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH -0.05%
CCI ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH -0.98%
DVN ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH -0.17%
BF-B ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH -0.39%
CINF ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH +0.56%
CSX ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH +0.49%
MGM ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH +0.28%
04 โ€” NEWS & EVENTS
๐Ÿ“ฐ MARKET-RELEVANT NEWS


๐Ÿ’ผ Business & Markets:

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Economy & Fed:

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US News:

๐ŸŒ World News:

๐Ÿ’ป Technology:

๐Ÿ“Š 38 of 40 headlines shown
๐ŸŽฏ CORE ENTITY TRACKER


Key individuals and organizations driving markets today

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Political:
  • ๐Ÿ”ด Donald Trump [SPY, DIA, QQQ] โ€” 5 mentions, 3 sources
Trumpโ€™s Strength in Primaries is Clear. The Midterms Pose a Different Test.
  • โšช Scott Bessent [TLT, UUP, GLD] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
Stanley Druckenmiller leads doubters who think Bessent's bond ploys will fa...

๐ŸŒ Geopolitical:
  • โšช Mohammed bin Salman [USO, XLE, XOM, CVX] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
Saudi Arabia Appears to Be Preparing for a New War With the Houthis
  • โšช Ali Khamenei [USO, XLE, GLD] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
Qatari PM heads to Iran to 'de-escalate tensions' as tanker attack tests Tr...

๐Ÿข Corporate Leaders:
  • โšช Tim Cook [AAPL] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
Fed Gov Lisa Cookโ€™s lawyer fires back at Trump's renewed threat to oust her

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Institutions:
  • โšช Federal Reserve [SPY, TLT, GLD, QQQ] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
Fed Gov Lisa Cookโ€™s lawyer fires back at Trump's renewed threat to oust her

Signal strength: ๐Ÿ”ด high (5+ mentions or corroborated) ๐ŸŸก medium (2+ mentions) โšช low
๐Ÿ“… Important Events for Tomorrow
No major events scheduled for tomorrow.
๐ŸŽฏ ETF PULLBACK SIGNAL (validated mechanical rule)


A pre-registered rule, not an ML prediction: an ETF closes above its 200-day average with 2-period RSI below 10 โ†’ buy, hold 5 trading days. The only signal in this product that cleared pre-registered kill-tests on ~30 years of history.

Signal state (as of 2026-08-26 close):
  • SPY โ€” no fire (last: 2026-07-29, 20 trading days ago)
  • IWM โ€” no fire (last: 2026-07-20, 27 trading days ago)
  • VTI โ€” no fire (last: 2026-08-18, 6 trading days ago)
  • XLY โ€” no fire (last: 2026-06-02, 59 trading days ago)
No active fire โ€” the normal state. Fires average 8-10 per year per ETF.

Measured record (next-open entry, de-overlapped fires, full history):
  • SPY โ€” 268 trades since 1993: 65.3% win vs 57.9% above-trend base ยท +0.58% avg per 5-day trade
  • IWM โ€” 193 trades since 2000: 62.2% win vs 53.2% above-trend base ยท +0.69% avg per 5-day trade
  • VTI โ€” 194 trades since 2001: 64.4% win vs 57.6% above-trend base ยท +0.47% avg per 5-day trade
  • XLY โ€” 238 trades since 1998: 62.6% win vs 55.0% above-trend base ยท +0.69% avg per 5-day trade

โš ๏ธ Backtest statistics, not live trading results. These four ETFs are highly correlated โ€” simultaneous fires are closer to ONE bet than four. The 5-day hold is unprotected by design (stops and profit targets were tested paired on the same fires; every overlay cost expectancy, and the worst historical trade was โˆ’8%). The 2005-2014 era did not clear the gate. Not financial advice.

๐Ÿ“ก Live state, per-timing splits and every caveat via the free API: GET /api/v1/signals/etf-pullback โ€” included with the free key every subscriber already has.
๐ŸŽฏ MARKET SIGNALS FROM NEWS


๐Ÿ“ฐ Key Headlines & Ticker Implications:

1. Second straight rate hike for Asiaโ€™s number-three economy as Nvidia-led AI expansion ...
๐ŸŸข XLF ยท ๐Ÿ”ด TLT, QQQ, GLD

2. Saudi Arabia Appears to Be Preparing for a New War With the Houthis
๐ŸŸข DFEN, GLD, XLE, VXX

3. My mother, 91, has dementia. Every bank says I need her signature to unlock her $100,...

4. EQT Lengthens Bidding War Over Kakaku With Minimal Bid Increase
๐ŸŸข DFEN, GLD, XLE, VXX

5. Nvidia jumps 7% after blockbuster earnings boost AI confidence
๐ŸŸข NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMD

6. How Indiaโ€™s central bank subsidised the diaspora

๐Ÿ“Š Ticker Signal Summary:
  • ๐ŸŸข Bullish: NVDA (Related to) ร—4, XLF (Related to) ร—4, GLD (Related to) ร—4, AMD (Related to) ร—3, DFEN (Related to) ร—2, XLE (Related to) ร—2
  • ๐Ÿ”ด Bearish: TLT (Related to) ร—2, QQQ (Related to) ร—1
  • โšช Mixed: KRE (Related to) ร—2, JPM (Related to) ร—2, BAC (Related to) ร—2
๐Ÿง  MARKET SYNTHESIS & OPPORTUNITIES


  • Sector leadership: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation (3.5%)
  • Sector weakness: Real Estate Services (-1.5%)
๐Ÿ“… ECONOMIC CALENDAR - SECRET TIER

All Global Events (Sorted by Impact)
Data Collected: 2026-08-27 05:36:17

๐Ÿ’ฑ All EVENTS:
๐Ÿ”ด High IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• Day 2 - Jackson Hole Symposium
Forecast: | Previous:

๐Ÿ’ฑ CAD EVENTS:
๐Ÿ”ด High IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• 5:30am - GDP m/m
Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: 0.3%

๐Ÿ’ฑ CHF EVENTS:
๐ŸŸข Low IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• 12:00am - KOF Economic Barometer
Forecast: 103.0 | Previous: 103.5

๐Ÿ’ฑ EUR EVENTS:
๐ŸŸข Low IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• - Spanish Flash CPI y/y
Forecast: 4.2% | Previous: 3.6%
๐Ÿ• 12:55am - German Unemployment Change
Forecast: 4K | Previous: 6K
๐Ÿ• Tentative - Italian 10-y Bond Auction
Forecast: | Previous: 4.00|1.7

๐Ÿ’ฑ USD EVENTS:
๐Ÿ”ด High IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• - Prelim Benchmark Payrolls Revision
Forecast: | Previous: -911K
๐Ÿ• 7:00am - Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks
Forecast: | Previous:

๐ŸŸก Medium IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• - Revised UoM Inflation Expectations
Forecast: | Previous: 4.3%
๐Ÿ• - Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
Forecast: 51.0 | Previous: 51.0

๐ŸŸข Low IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• 6:45am - Chicago PMI
Forecast: 57.9 | Previous: 57.6

๐Ÿ“Š DETAILED DATA:
  • Complete CSV data available in attachment
  • File: economic_calendar_20260828_053551.csv

๐Ÿ’ก SECRET TIER ACCESS:
  • All global economic events
  • Sorted by currency and impact level
  • Complete CSV data included
๐Ÿ“Š PUT/CALL RATIO ANALYSIS

Latest Options Activity: 2026-08-25

Market Sentiment Interpretation:
๐Ÿปโš ๏ธ Moderately Bearish - Elevated put activity

Key Ratios:
  • TOTAL PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.830
Overall market sentiment - ๐Ÿ‚โœ… Bullish (Call buying > Put buying - Moderate upside)

  • EQUITY PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.570
Individual stock sentiment - ๐Ÿ‚โœ… Bullish (Call buying > Put buying - Moderate upside)

  • INDEX PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.970
Index options sentiment - ๐Ÿ‚โœ… Bullish (Call buying > Put buying - Moderate upside)

  • CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.430
Volatility sentiment - ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ“‰ Very Bearish (VIX Call buying >> VIX Put buying - High volatility expected)

๐Ÿ’ก SECRET TIER ACCESS:
  • Complete Put/Call ratio analysis
  • All key market sentiment indicators
03 โ€” MARKET SENTIMENT
Stock Market
55
Neutral
Crypto
71
Greed
๐Ÿ“Š FEAR & GREED INDEX

Data Collected: 2026-08-27 05:36:19

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Stock Market: 55/100 - GREED ๐ŸŸก
๐Ÿ’ก Optimistic sentiment

โ‚ฟ Crypto Market: 71/100 - GREED ๐ŸŸก

๐Ÿ’ก Fear & Greed Insights:
  • Extreme Fear = Potential buying opportunity
  • Extreme Greed = Potential selling opportunity
  • Use as contrarian indicator for market timing
๐ŸŒ TRENDING TOPICS (4 sources)


What people are searching, watching, and sharing today

๐Ÿ” Google Trending Searches:
  • lunar eclipse blood moon (5000+ searches) โ€” Next Up! A Deep Partial Lunar Eclipse on Aug. 27โ€“28
  • preston vs everton (2000+ searches) โ€” Preston North End vs Everton: League Cup stats & head-to-hea
  • california couple confront their surrogate in a texas court as dispute over newborn escala (1000+ searches) โ€” California couple confront their surrogate in a Texas court
  • jamie foxx kerry washington django unchained (1000+ searches) โ€” Jamie Foxx convinced Quentin Tarantino to cut Django Unchain
  • power outage (1000+ searches) โ€” NIPSCO filed applications for customer rate increases amid s
  • ol vs fenerbahรงe (1000+ searches) โ€” Olympique Lyonnais vs Fenerbahรงe: UEFA Champions League stat
  • blake lively justin baldoni legal fees (1000+ searches) โ€” Judge awards Blake Lively $400,000 in legal fees in Justin B
  • bradford city vs burnley (500+ searches) โ€” Bradford City vs Burnley: League Cup stats & head-to-head
  • lyon - fenerbahรงe (500+ searches) โ€” ฤฐsmail Kartal'dan Lyon maรงฤฑ รถncesi TFF'ye tepki: 'Kabul edil
  • tom clancy's the division 2 (500+ searches) โ€” The Division 2: Red Horizon

๐Ÿ“– Wikipedia Most-Viewed:
  • Dolly Parton (5,544,814 page views)
  • Jed York (180,256 page views)
  • Deaths in 2026 (179,929 page views)
  • Shelley Fabares (158,704 page views)
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day (141,403 page views)
  • Hayden Panettiere (138,765 page views)
  • Kwanza Jones (136,757 page views)
  • Stella Parton (121,657 page views)
  • Randy Parton (111,316 page views)
  • Josรฉ E. Feliciano (108,786 page views)

๐Ÿ”ถ Hacker News Top Stories:
  • AWS Acquires DuckLabs (806 pts, 227 comments)
  • GLM-5.3-Flash (604 pts, 280 comments)
  • Qwen3.8-Flash-Next (485 pts, 147 comments)
  • RAG Is Simpler Than You Think (365 pts, 160 comments)
  • Tim Curry has died (342 pts, 127 comments)
  • Stalking the Wily Hacker: 40 years later โ€“ Cliff Stoll [video] (255 pts, 85 comments)
  • Nebula Sans (221 pts, 86 comments)
  • Disruption with Some GitHub Services (190 pts, 107 comments)

โ–ถ๏ธ YouTube Viral:
  • Allah Tala ke madad ๐Ÿ˜ญ #ytshorts #news #prayer #today #trending #emotional #shorts โ€” Faisal & Hassan (359,938 views)
  • Allah Tala ke madad๐Ÿ˜ญ#ytshorts #news #prayer #today #trending #emotional #youtubeshorts#sho โ€” Magic words (296,795 views)
  • Tv9 Marathi News Top Headline Today | 26 August 2026 | 8 AM | 4 Minute 24 Headline Maharas โ€” TV9 Marathi (265,288 views)
  • Gutfeld: Politicians are PANICKINGโ€ฆ โ€” Fox News (256,333 views)
  • Allah Sub Dikh Raha hai ๐Ÿ˜ญ #ytshorts #news #prayer #today #trending #emotional #shorts โ€” Comedy Loop (217,979 views)
  • เฆจเฆฟเฆทเง‡เฆงเฆพเฆœเงเฆžเฆพเงŸ เฆญเฆพเฆ™เฆ›เง‡ เฆจเฆพ เฆ‡เฆฐเฆพเฆจ, เฆ†เฆฎเง‡เฆฐเฆฟเฆ•เฆพเฆ•เง‡ เฆชเฆพเฆฒเงเฆŸเฆพ เฆ†เฆ˜เฆพเฆคเง‡เฆฐ เฆนเงเฆฎเฆ•เฆฟ | Iran | Middle east | USA | ITV โ€” Independent Television (205,151 views)

๐Ÿ”ฌ CAUSAL VALIDATION
Grade distribution across 10 validated models: D:1 | F:9
High-validity (A/B): 0 tickers (0%) โ€” predictions have statistically confirmed signal

โš ๏ธ 10 low-validity models (D/F): FFIV, FICO, ICE, IFF, KEY, KEYS, LUV, ODFL, SWK, WTW
Trading engine applies 25% sizing (D) or skips (F) these tickers.
๐Ÿ›๏ธ CONGRESS STOCK TRADES


๐Ÿ“Š 50 trades in last 14 days
๐ŸŸข 22 Purchases | ๐Ÿ”ด 28 Sales
Senate: 9 | House: 41

Most Active Tickers:
  • ๐ŸŸข Bought: BE ร—4, INTC ร—2, GOOGL ร—2, IBP ร—1, PG ร—1
  • ๐Ÿ”ด Sold: ACN ร—3, MBGL ร—3, GOOGL ร—2, ABT ร—2, SOLS ร—1

Recent Notable Trades:
  • ๐Ÿ”ด ACN sold by Kelly Morrison (D-H) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000
  • ๐Ÿ”ด GOOGL sold by Michael A. Rulli (R-H) โ€” $50,001 - $100,000
  • ๐ŸŸข BE bought by Nancy Pelosi (D-H) โ€” $1,000,001 - $5,000,000
  • ๐ŸŸข BE bought by Nancy Pelosi (D-H) โ€” $500,001 - $1,000,000
  • ๐ŸŸข BE bought by Nancy Pelosi (D-H) โ€” $1,000,001 - $5,000,000
  • ๐ŸŸข BE bought by Nancy Pelosi (D-H) โ€” $500,001 - $1,000,000
  • ๐ŸŸข INTC bought by Nancy Pelosi (D-H) โ€” $500,001 - $1,000,000
  • ๐ŸŸข INTC bought by Nancy Pelosi (D-H) โ€” $250,001 - $500,000

โ€”
Source: STOCK Act disclosures via QuiverQuant
02 โ€” TODAY'S PREDICTIONS

🎯 Ticker Momentum

Ranked by composite backtest score. Direction from classifier, confidence from regressor.

# Ticker Score Daily Dir Daily Conf Daily AUC Weekly Dir Weekly Conf Weekly AUC Monthly Dir Monthly Conf Monthly AUC MR Q Regime Val Coverage
1 BIO 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 75.1%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
2 FICO 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 75.1%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
3 KEY 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 95.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
4 RCL 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 58.3%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
5 WTW 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 75.1%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
6 FFIV 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 95.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
7 JNJ 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 58.3%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
8 LUV 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 73.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” D 1/3
9 NKE 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 86.4%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
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Lower Confidence Picks (calibrated confidence <55% — treat with caution)

# Ticker Score Daily Dir Daily Conf Daily AUC Weekly Dir Weekly Conf Weekly AUC Monthly Dir Monthly Conf Monthly AUC MR Q Regime Val Coverage
1 AOS 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
2 HUBB 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
3 KEYS 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
4 MHK 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
5 SWK 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
6 TJX 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
7 ZBRA 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
8 ICE 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
9 IFF 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
10 NTAP 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
11 ODFL 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” 0.0%
โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3

๐Ÿ“– Legend

โšก Score: Composite backtest performance (0-100 scale)
Weighted: Sharpe Ratio 40% + Win Rate 35% + IC 25%

๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ BULLISH - Model indicates upward momentum

๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ BEARISH - Model indicates downward momentum

Confidence: Direction accuracy from model backtesting

AUC: Area Under ROC Curve from classifier (classification quality metric)

Val: Causal validity grade (Aโ€“F) โ€” statistical confidence the model captures real signal rather than data-snooping artifacts.
A/B = confirmed signal  |  C = moderate  |  D = 25% size  |  F = skipped by trading engine

MR Q (Mean-Reversion Quintile): Cross-sectional rank among all predicted tickers
Q5 Most oversold โ€” potential bounce candidate  |  Q4 Mildly oversold  |  Q3 Neutral  |  Q2 Mildly overbought  |  Q1 Most overbought โ€” potential fade candidate

Regime: Ticker's own 50-day price trend   Bull / Bear / Neutral

Coverage: Number of timeframes with valid signals (Daily/Weekly/Monthly)

๐ŸŸข Green rows: High confidence (โ‰ฅ60%)

๐Ÿ”ด Red rows: Low confidence (<52%)

Historical accuracy: BEARISH 62% | BULLISH 41% (calibrated confidence reflects this)

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โš ๏ธ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS

๐Ÿ“Š MOMENTUM INDICATORS, NOT PREDICTIONS:
The signals in this report are momentum indicators, not predictive values. They reflect current technical momentum and historical patterns, but do NOT predict future price movements with certainty. Markets are inherently unpredictable and past momentum does not guarantee future direction. Use these indicators as one input among many in your research process.

๐Ÿ’ฐ FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. The information provided is not intended to be used as the sole basis for any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal.

๐Ÿšซ NO INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATIONS:
We do not recommend, endorse, or suggest any specific investments, securities, or trading strategies. The analysis provided is based on historical data and statistical models that may not accurately predict future market movements. Market conditions change rapidly and unpredictably.

๐Ÿค– AUTOMATED ANALYSIS:
This report is generated by automated systems using machine learning models. These models have limitations and may produce inaccurate results. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.

๐Ÿ“ˆ SCORE METHODOLOGY:
The Score column represents a composite backtest performance metric, combining Sharpe Ratio (40%), Win Rate (35%), and Information Coefficient (25%). Higher scores indicate models with better historical backtested performance, but this does NOT guarantee future results.

๐Ÿ“Š DATA ACCURACY:
While we strive for accuracy, we do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any information provided. Data sources may have errors, delays, or other issues that could affect the analysis.

โš–๏ธ LEGAL DISCLAIMER:
This service is provided 'as is' without warranties of any kind. We disclaim all warranties, express or implied, including but not limited to warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement.

๐Ÿ‘ค INDIVIDUAL RESPONSIBILITY:
You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and their outcomes. You should conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

By using this service, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agree to these disclaimers.
For questions or concerns, contact: dave@moneysignals.us