MoneySignals Daily Predictions · Top Predictions
2026-08-07 (Friday) · secret tier
Tickers
364
With Signals
364
Daily
364
Weekly
0
Monthly
0

Generated: 2026-08-06 05:37:08 EST

01 โ€” MODEL SCORECARD
How Our Picks Did — Wednesday, Aug 5
6/10 correct — 60% BULLISH calls 60%
Ticker Predicted Conf Actual Result Return
COO ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH ✓ +0.20%
EG ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH ✓ +1.10%
CINF ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH ✗ -0.91%
CMI ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH ✓ +2.25%
ACN ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH ✓ +0.18%
AKAM ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH ✗ -0.88%
BEN ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH ✗ -2.38%
AXON ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH ✓ +0.38%
CHTR ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↑ BULLISH ✓ +0.07%
EXPD ↑ BULLISH 95.0% ↓ BEARISH ✗ -0.04%
04 โ€” NEWS & EVENTS
๐Ÿ“ฐ MARKET-RELEVANT NEWS

๐Ÿ’ผ Business & Markets:

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Economy & Fed:

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US News:

๐ŸŒ World News:

๐Ÿ’ป Technology:

๐Ÿ“Š 36 of 39 headlines shown
๐ŸŽฏ CORE ENTITY TRACKER

Key individuals and organizations driving markets today

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Political:
  • ๐ŸŸก Donald Trump [SPY, DIA, QQQ] โ€” 3 mentions, 3 sources
Tennesseeโ€™s Andy Ogles Faces Well-Funded Opposition in House Primary Thursd...
  • โšช Elon Musk [TSLA, TWTR, SPY] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
Elon Musk’s attempt at an AI Wikipedia hasn’t been updated in m...

๐ŸŒ Geopolitical:
  • โšช Ali Khamenei [USO, XLE, GLD] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
Iranian footballers who defied Tehran become Australian citizens

๐Ÿข Corporate Leaders:
  • โšช Jamie Dimon [JPM, XLF, KRE] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
JPMorgan's Jamie Dimon warns of high leverage: 'Somebody will disrupt the m...

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Institutions:
  • โšช Federal Reserve [SPY, TLT, GLD, QQQ] โ€” 1 mention, 1 source
Federal Reserve Board announces approval of the application by Coastal Bend...

Signal strength: ๐Ÿ”ด high (5+ mentions or corroborated) ๐ŸŸก medium (2+ mentions) โšช low
๐Ÿ“… Important Events for Tomorrow
No major events scheduled for tomorrow.
๐ŸŽฏ ETF PULLBACK SIGNAL (validated mechanical rule)

A pre-registered rule, not an ML prediction: an ETF closes above its 200-day average with 2-period RSI below 10 โ†’ buy, hold 5 trading days. The only signal in this product that cleared pre-registered kill-tests on ~30 years of history.

Signal state (as of 2026-08-05 close):
  • SPY โ€” no fire (last: 2026-07-29, 5 trading days ago)
  • IWM โ€” no fire (last: 2026-07-20, 12 trading days ago)
  • VTI โ€” no fire (last: 2026-07-29, 5 trading days ago)
  • XLY โ€” no fire (last: 2026-06-02, 44 trading days ago)
No active fire โ€” the normal state. Fires average 8-10 per year per ETF.

Measured record (next-open entry, de-overlapped fires, full history):
  • SPY โ€” 268 trades since 1993: 65.3% win vs 57.9% above-trend base ยท +0.58% avg per 5-day trade
  • IWM โ€” 193 trades since 2000: 62.2% win vs 53.2% above-trend base ยท +0.69% avg per 5-day trade
  • VTI โ€” 193 trades since 2001: 64.8% win vs 57.7% above-trend base ยท +0.48% avg per 5-day trade
  • XLY โ€” 238 trades since 1998: 62.6% win vs 55.1% above-trend base ยท +0.69% avg per 5-day trade

โš ๏ธ Backtest statistics, not live trading results. These four ETFs are highly correlated โ€” simultaneous fires are closer to ONE bet than four. The 5-day hold is unprotected by design (stops and profit targets were tested paired on the same fires; every overlay cost expectancy, and the worst historical trade was โˆ’8%). The 2005-2014 era did not clear the gate. Not financial advice.

๐Ÿ“ก Live state, per-timing splits and every caveat via the free API: GET /api/v1/signals/etf-pullback โ€” included with the free key every subscriber already has.
๐ŸŽฏ MARKET SIGNALS FROM NEWS

๐Ÿ“ฐ Key Headlines & Ticker Implications:

1. Moderate Democrats Prepare for โ€˜Warโ€™ Against an Ascendant Left
๐ŸŸข DFEN, GLD, XLE, VXX

2. U.S. ready to return to 'commitments,' Iran says, after Trump signals deal is near
๐ŸŸข XLE, GLD, DFEN

3. Google is expanding its AI empire โ€” and losing the people who built it
๐ŸŸข NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMD

4. OpenAI says Appleโ€™s trade secrets lawsuit is โ€˜rotten to its coreโ€™
๐ŸŸข MSFT, NVDA

5. Federal Reserve Board announces approval of the application by Coastal Bend Bancshare...

๐Ÿ“Š Ticker Signal Summary:
  • ๐ŸŸข Bullish: GLD (Related to) ร—3, DFEN (Related to) ร—2, XLE (Related to) ร—2, NVDA (Related to) ร—2, MSFT (Related to) ร—2, VXX (Related to) ร—1
  • โšช Mixed: DJT (Related to) ร—1, AAPL (Related to) ร—1, TLT (Related to) ร—1, XLF (Related to) ร—1
๐Ÿง  MARKET SYNTHESIS & OPPORTUNITIES

  • Sector leadership: Health Care Distributors (3.0%)
  • Sector weakness: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing (-2.8%)
๐Ÿ“… ECONOMIC CALENDAR - SECRET TIER
All Global Events (Sorted by Impact)
Data Collected: 2026-08-06 05:37:05

๐Ÿ’ฑ CAD EVENTS:
๐Ÿ”ด High IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• - Unemployment Rate
Forecast: 6.5% | Previous: 6.5%
๐Ÿ• 5:30am - Employment Change
Forecast: 17.8K | Previous: 18.2K

๐ŸŸก Medium IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• 7:00am - Ivey PMI
Forecast: 55.4 | Previous: 56.2

๐Ÿ’ฑ CHF EVENTS:
๐ŸŸข Low IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• - SECO Consumer Climate
Forecast: -34 | Previous: -36
๐Ÿ• 12:00am - Foreign Currency Reserves
Forecast: | Previous: 759B

๐Ÿ’ฑ USD EVENTS:
๐Ÿ”ด High IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• - Unemployment Rate
Forecast: 4.2% | Previous: 4.2%
๐Ÿ• - Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.3%
๐Ÿ• - Non-Farm Employment Change
Forecast: 85K | Previous: 57K

๐ŸŸข Low IMPACT:
๐Ÿ• - FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
Forecast: | Previous:
๐Ÿ• 12:00pm - Consumer Credit m/m
Forecast: 11.4B | Previous: -0.2B

๐Ÿ“Š DETAILED DATA:
  • Complete CSV data available in attachment
  • File: economic_calendar_20260807_053552.csv

๐Ÿ’ก SECRET TIER ACCESS:
  • All global economic events
  • Sorted by currency and impact level
  • Complete CSV data included
๐Ÿ“Š PUT/CALL RATIO ANALYSIS
Latest Options Activity: 2026-08-05

Market Sentiment Interpretation:
๐Ÿปโš ๏ธ Moderately Bearish - Elevated put activity

Key Ratios:
  • TOTAL PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.880
Overall market sentiment - ๐Ÿ‚โœ… Bullish (Call buying > Put buying - Moderate upside)

  • EQUITY PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.600
Individual stock sentiment - ๐Ÿ‚โœ… Bullish (Call buying > Put buying - Moderate upside)

  • INDEX PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.940
Index options sentiment - ๐Ÿ‚โœ… Bullish (Call buying > Put buying - Moderate upside)

  • CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.390
Volatility sentiment - ๐Ÿป๐Ÿ“‰ Very Bearish (VIX Call buying >> VIX Put buying - High volatility expected)

๐Ÿ’ก SECRET TIER ACCESS:
  • Complete Put/Call ratio analysis
  • All key market sentiment indicators
03 โ€” MARKET SENTIMENT
Stock Market
60
Greed
Crypto
25
Extreme Fear
๐Ÿ“Š FEAR & GREED INDEX
Data Collected: 2026-08-06 05:37:07

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Stock Market: 60/100 - GREED ๐ŸŸก
๐Ÿ’ก Optimistic sentiment

โ‚ฟ Crypto Market: 25/100 - FEAR ๐ŸŸก

๐Ÿ’ก Fear & Greed Insights:
  • Extreme Fear = Potential buying opportunity
  • Extreme Greed = Potential selling opportunity
  • Use as contrarian indicator for market timing
๐ŸŒ TRENDING TOPICS (4 sources)

What people are searching, watching, and sharing today

๐Ÿ” Google Trending Searches:
  • astros (2000+ searches) โ€” Astros player belts home run, rounds the bases and then gets
  • houston astros (2000+ searches) โ€” Blue Jays vs. Astros prediction, odds, time: 2026 MLB picks
  • giants - rangers (2000+ searches) โ€” How to watch San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers
  • naomi osaka (2000+ searches) โ€” DC Openโ€™s Bet on Breakout Tennis Phenom Alex Eala Pays Off
  • boca juniors - estudiantes (1000+ searches) โ€” Boca vs. Estudiantes, en vivo, por el Torneo Clausura: a quรฉ
  • felix auger aliassime (1000+ searches) โ€” Auger-Aliassime withdraws from Montreal due to injury
  • myles garrett (500+ searches) โ€” Pass rusher Jadeveon Clowney reaches deal to reunite with Te
  • cruzeiro x chapecoense (500+ searches) โ€” Cruzeiro x Chapecoense: onde assistir ao vivo, horรกrio e esc
  • hunter greene (500+ searches) โ€” Reds Place Hunter Greene On Injured List
  • home care (500+ searches) โ€” 19 charged in $4M Medicaid fraud in Pennsylvania

๐Ÿ“– Wikipedia Most-Viewed:
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day (638,274 page views)
  • The Odyssey (2026 film) (315,568 page views)
  • Glen Hansard (177,963 page views)
  • Zendaya (165,485 page views)
  • Tom Holland (162,801 page views)
  • .xyz (161,369 page views)
  • Deaths in 2026 (135,589 page views)
  • Pan Am Flight 103 (126,403 page views)
  • Pradeep Rawat (actor) (120,687 page views)
  • Neatsville, Kentucky (107,440 page views)

๐Ÿ”ถ Hacker News Top Stories:
  • Discovery Loop (463 pts, 290 comments)
  • Cloudflare OS: an open platform for agents, apps, and work (346 pts, 195 comments)
  • Changes at Google DeepMind: Demis Hassabis from CEO to Chair, Jeff Dean departs (337 pts, 484 comments)
  • Zed DeltaDB (208 pts, 91 comments)
  • Qwen 3.0 Image Pro (186 pts, 47 comments)
  • Meta Ran Ads That Contained AI-Generated Child Sexual Abuse Imagery (156 pts, 109 comments)
  • Beating GPT-5.6 Sol on retrieval with 100x cheaper open models (142 pts, 29 comments)
  • The Valley of Webhooks (125 pts, 57 comments)

โ–ถ๏ธ YouTube Viral:
  • Allah Tala ke madad ๐Ÿ˜ญ #ytshorts #news #prayer#today#trending #emotional#youtubeshorts#shor โ€” Deen Spark (5,476,526 views)
  • Allah Tala ke madad๐Ÿ˜ญ#ytshorts #news #prayer #today #trending #emotional #youtubeshorts#sho โ€” Crazy Vision (2,324,005 views)
  • ๐Ÿ”ดLIVE : TVK | TN Assembly | CM Vijay | Marie Wilson | เฎคเฎตเฏ†เฎ• เฎ…เฎฐเฎšเฎฟเฎฉเฏ เฎฎเฏเฎคเฎฒเฏ เฎชเฎŸเฏเฎœเฏ†เฎŸเฏ โ€” Thanthi TV (850,671 views)
  • Armed suspect arrested at Trump golf course: ABC World News Tonight with David Muir - Aug. โ€” ABC News (775,076 views)
  • Today is Isaac birthday? ๐Ÿค”๐Ÿคช | #trending #viral #shorts #birthday | Isaac the Mass โ€” Isaac The Mass (719,018 views)
  • LIVE: Steve Kornacki analyzes midterm primary election results | Kornacki Cam | NBC News โ€” NBC News (610,339 views)

๐Ÿ”ฌ CAUSAL VALIDATION
Grade distribution across 5 validated models: F:5
High-validity (A/B): 0 tickers (0%) โ€” predictions have statistically confirmed signal

โš ๏ธ 5 low-validity models (D/F): BAC, IFF, ODFL, SWKS, WTW
Trading engine applies 25% sizing (D) or skips (F) these tickers.
๐Ÿ›๏ธ CONGRESS STOCK TRADES

๐Ÿ“Š 50 trades in last 14 days
๐ŸŸข 28 Purchases | ๐Ÿ”ด 21 Sales
Senate: 6 | House: 44

Most Active Tickers:
  • ๐ŸŸข Bought: LTH ร—9, FWONK ร—6, CHRW ร—5, BWXT ร—3, ENTG ร—2
  • ๐Ÿ”ด Sold: CPAY ร—6, MKL ร—4, CLH ร—3, LYV ร—2, AAPL ร—1

Recent Notable Trades:
  • ๐Ÿ”ด MSFT sold by Shelley Moore Capito (R-S) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000
  • ๐ŸŸข BWXT bought by April McClain Delaney (D-H) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000
  • ๐ŸŸข CHRW bought by April McClain Delaney (D-H) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000
  • ๐ŸŸข CHRW bought by April McClain Delaney (D-H) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000
  • ๐ŸŸข FWONK bought by April McClain Delaney (D-H) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000
  • ๐ŸŸข FWONK bought by April McClain Delaney (D-H) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000
  • ๐ŸŸข FWONK bought by April McClain Delaney (D-H) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000
  • ๐ŸŸข FWONK bought by April McClain Delaney (D-H) โ€” $15,001 - $50,000

โ€”
Source: STOCK Act disclosures via QuiverQuant
02 โ€” TODAY'S PREDICTIONS

🎯 Ticker Momentum

Ranked by composite backtest score. Direction from classifier, confidence from regressor.

# Ticker Score Daily Dir Daily Conf Daily AUC Weekly Dir Weekly Conf Weekly AUC Monthly Dir Monthly Conf Monthly AUC MR Q Regime Val Coverage
1 BIO 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 64.5%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
2 COO 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 95.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
3 KEY 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 95.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
4 WTW 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 86.4%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
5 NTAP 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 64.5%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
6 ODFL 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 58.3%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
7 PAYC 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 58.3%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
8 PNW 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 73.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
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Lower Confidence Picks (calibrated confidence <55% — treat with caution)

# Ticker Score Daily Dir Daily Conf Daily AUC Weekly Dir Weekly Conf Weekly AUC Monthly Dir Monthly Conf Monthly AUC MR Q Regime Val Coverage
1 CPT 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
2 HUBB 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 43.9%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
3 MTCH 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
4 RCL 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
5 SWK 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 38.4%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
6 TJX 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
7 TXT 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
8 BAC 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
9 FFIV 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 45.4%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
10 IFF 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3
11 JNJ 100 ๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ 48.3%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” N/A 1/3
12 SWKS 100 ๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ 33.7%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” 0.0%
 โ€” โ€” โ€” F 1/3

๐Ÿ“– Legend

โšก Score: Composite backtest performance (0-100 scale)
Weighted: Sharpe Ratio 40% + Win Rate 35% + IC 25%

๐Ÿ“ˆ โ†‘ BULLISH - Model indicates upward momentum

๐Ÿ“‰ โ†“ BEARISH - Model indicates downward momentum

Confidence: Direction accuracy from model backtesting

AUC: Area Under ROC Curve from classifier (classification quality metric)

Val: Causal validity grade (Aโ€“F) โ€” statistical confidence the model captures real signal rather than data-snooping artifacts.
A/B = confirmed signal  |  C = moderate  |  D = 25% size  |  F = skipped by trading engine

MR Q (Mean-Reversion Quintile): Cross-sectional rank among all predicted tickers
Q5 Most oversold โ€” potential bounce candidate  |  Q4 Mildly oversold  |  Q3 Neutral  |  Q2 Mildly overbought  |  Q1 Most overbought โ€” potential fade candidate

Regime: Ticker's own 50-day price trend   Bull / Bear / Neutral

Coverage: Number of timeframes with valid signals (Daily/Weekly/Monthly)

๐ŸŸข Green rows: High confidence (โ‰ฅ60%)

๐Ÿ”ด Red rows: Low confidence (<52%)

Historical accuracy: BEARISH 62% | BULLISH 41% (calibrated confidence reflects this)

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โš ๏ธ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS

๐Ÿ“Š MOMENTUM INDICATORS, NOT PREDICTIONS:
The signals in this report are momentum indicators, not predictive values. They reflect current technical momentum and historical patterns, but do NOT predict future price movements with certainty. Markets are inherently unpredictable and past momentum does not guarantee future direction. Use these indicators as one input among many in your research process.

๐Ÿ’ฐ FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. The information provided is not intended to be used as the sole basis for any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal.

๐Ÿšซ NO INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATIONS:
We do not recommend, endorse, or suggest any specific investments, securities, or trading strategies. The analysis provided is based on historical data and statistical models that may not accurately predict future market movements. Market conditions change rapidly and unpredictably.

๐Ÿค– AUTOMATED ANALYSIS:
This report is generated by automated systems using machine learning models. These models have limitations and may produce inaccurate results. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.

๐Ÿ“ˆ SCORE METHODOLOGY:
The Score column represents a composite backtest performance metric, combining Sharpe Ratio (40%), Win Rate (35%), and Information Coefficient (25%). Higher scores indicate models with better historical backtested performance, but this does NOT guarantee future results.

๐Ÿ“Š DATA ACCURACY:
While we strive for accuracy, we do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any information provided. Data sources may have errors, delays, or other issues that could affect the analysis.

โš–๏ธ LEGAL DISCLAIMER:
This service is provided 'as is' without warranties of any kind. We disclaim all warranties, express or implied, including but not limited to warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement.

๐Ÿ‘ค INDIVIDUAL RESPONSIBILITY:
You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and their outcomes. You should conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

By using this service, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agree to these disclaimers.
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