MoneySignals Daily Predictions · Top Predictions
2026-04-13 (Monday) · secret tier
Tickers
578
With Signals
578
Daily
578
Weekly
0
Monthly
0

Generated: 2026-04-10 06:05:51 EST

04 — NEWS & EVENTS
📰 MARKET-RELEVANT NEWS

💼 Business & Markets:

🏛️ Economy & Fed:

🇺🇸 US News:

🌍 World News:

💻 Technology:

📊 39 of 40 headlines shown
🎯 CORE ENTITY TRACKER

Key individuals and organizations driving markets today

🇺🇸 US Political:
  • 🔴 Donald Trump [SPY, DIA, QQQ] — 12 mentions, 6 sources
Communities are waiting on billions in disaster funding from the Trump admi...
  • 🟡 RFK Jr. [PFE, JNJ, MRK, ABBV] — 1 mention, 1 source ✅ LOBBY
RFK Jr. rewrites CDC panel's charter, opening door to anti-vaccine quacks
  • ⚪ JD Vance [QQQ] — 1 mention, 1 source
Vance Faces Test of His Negotiating Skills With Iran Talks

🏦 Central Banks:
  • ⚪ Jerome Powell [SPY, TLT, GLD, QQQ] — 1 mention, 1 source
Kevin Warsh Fed chair confirmation plan hits snag as nomination hearing is ...

🌍 Geopolitical:
  • ⚪ Xi Jinping [FXI, KWEB, BABA, EEM] — 1 mention, 1 source
Xi Meets Taiwan Opposition Leader for First Time in a Decade

🏛️ Institutions:
  • 🟡 Federal Reserve [SPY, TLT, GLD, QQQ] — 4 mentions, 3 sources
Kevin Warsh Fed chair confirmation plan hits snag as nomination hearing is ...

Signal strength: 🔴 high (5+ mentions or corroborated) 🟡 medium (2+ mentions) ⚪ low
📅 IMPORTANT EVENTS TOMORROW
===================================
📆 Date: Monday, April 13, 2026

🌍 INTERNATIONAL EVENTS:
  • IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings (in progress) — Global growth outlook, emerging market policy

💡 TRADING IMPLICATIONS:
  • International summits can shift trade, currency, and energy policy
  • Headlines from diplomatic events may cause intraday volatility
🎯 MARKET SIGNALS FROM NEWS

📰 Key Headlines & Ticker Implications:

1. U.S. oil climbs above $100 as U.S.-Iran ceasefire fails to boost tanker traffic via S...
🟢 XLE, GLD, DFEN, USO

2. Taiwan Exports, US Surplus Hit Records as AI Outweighs War
🟢 DFEN, GLD, XLE, VXX

3. TSMC posts 35% jump in revenue to new record high as AI chip demand stays strong
🟢 NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMD

4. Meta’s New AI Asked for My Raw Health Data—and Gave Me Terrible Advice
🟢 NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL, AMD

5. Federal Reserve Board announces termination of enforcement actions with Crédit Agrico...

6. Inflation held sticky at 3% as U.S. headed into war with Iran, key Fed gauge shows
🟢 DFEN, GLD, XLE, VXX

📊 Ticker Signal Summary:
  • 🟢 Bullish: GLD (Related to) ×7, XLE (Related to) ×6, DFEN (Related to) ×6, NVDA (Related to) ×4, VXX (Related to) ×3, MSFT (Related to) ×3
  • ⚪ Mixed: TLT (Related to) ×2, META (Related to) ×1, XLF (Related to) ×1, KRE (Related to) ×1
🧠 MARKET SYNTHESIS & OPPORTUNITIES

  • Sector leadership: Distillers & Vintners (10.7%)
  • Sector weakness: IT Consulting & Other Services (-2.9%)
📆 Economic Calendar
No economic events scheduled. Market may be closed or holiday.
📊 PUT/CALL RATIO ANALYSIS
Latest Options Activity: 2026-03-25

Market Sentiment Interpretation:
🐻⚠️ Moderately Bearish - Elevated put activity

Key Ratios:
  • TOTAL PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.990
Overall market sentiment - 🐂✅ Bullish (Call buying > Put buying - Moderate upside)

  • EQUITY PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.560
Individual stock sentiment - 🐂✅ Bullish (Call buying > Put buying - Moderate upside)

  • INDEX PUT/CALL RATIO: 1.060
Index options sentiment - 🐻📉 Bearish (Put buying > Call buying - Downside protection)

  • CBOE VOLATILITY INDEX (VIX) PUT/CALL RATIO: 0.590
Volatility sentiment - 🐻⚠️ Bearish (VIX Call buying > VIX Put buying - Volatility expected)

💡 SECRET TIER ACCESS:
  • Complete Put/Call ratio analysis
  • All key market sentiment indicators
03 — MARKET SENTIMENT
Stock Market
37
Fear
Crypto
16
Extreme Fear
📊 FEAR & GREED INDEX
Data Collected: 2026-04-10 06:05:49

🏛️ Stock Market: 37/100 - FEAR 🟡
💡 Pessimistic sentiment

₿ Crypto Market: 16/100 - EXTREME FEAR 🔴

💡 Fear & Greed Insights:
  • Extreme Fear = Potential buying opportunity
  • Extreme Greed = Potential selling opportunity
  • Use as contrarian indicator for market timing
🌍 TRENDING TOPICS (3 sources)

What people are searching, watching, and sharing today

🔍 Google Trending Searches:
  • jeffrey springs (10000+ searches) — New York Yankees vs. The Athletics: Ryan Weathers vs. Jeffre
  • melania trump (5000+ searches) — Melania Trump attacks claims about her and Jeffrey Epstein
  • mortgage broker (2000+ searches) — Executive reveals the one commercial sector brokers can’t af
  • marlins (1000+ searches) — Reds vs. Marlins prediction, odds, time: 2026 MLB picks for
  • sergio garcía (500+ searches) — Why Sergio Garcia is 'not feeling amazing' ahead of 2026 Mas
  • barron trump beverage company (500+ searches) — The Apprentice? Barron Trump debuts soft drink venture
  • sphere (500+ searches) — Las Vegas Sphere Turns Into Huge Moon to Celebrate NASA Miss
  • zach johnson (500+ searches) — Zach Johnson betting profile: Masters Tournament
  • mainz vs strasbourg (500+ searches) — Preview: Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg - prediction, team news, lin
  • amanda balionis (500+ searches) — Amanda Balionis Hesitant to Follow Her Heart at Augusta Nati

📖 Wikipedia Most-Viewed:
  • .xxx (491,974 page views)
  • Aubrey Plaza (289,395 page views)
  • Christopher Abbott (273,906 page views)
  • 2026 Iran war (249,975 page views)
  • Dhurandhar: The Revenge (230,415 page views)
  • List of highest-grossing Indian films (187,161 page views)
  • Artemis II (171,362 page views)
  • Jeff Baena (152,789 page views)
  • The Boys season 5 (133,126 page views)
  • Jasveen Sangha (130,463 page views)

🔶 Hacker News Top Stories:
  • EFF is leaving X (537 pts, 486 comments)
  • Meta removes ads for social media addiction litigation (428 pts, 175 comments)
  • Open source security at Astral (324 pts, 77 comments)
  • The Vercel plugin on Claude Code wants to read your prompts (231 pts, 83 comments)
  • Reallocating $100/Month Claude Code Spend to Zed and OpenRouter (208 pts, 159 comments)
  • Top laptops to use with FreeBSD (197 pts, 98 comments)
  • Introduction to Nintendo DS Programming (175 pts, 31 comments)
  • Lichess and Take Take Take Sign Cooperation Agreement (145 pts, 35 comments)

🏛️ CONGRESS STOCK TRADES

📊 50 trades in last 14 days
🟢 22 Purchases | 🔴 28 Sales
Senate: 1 | House: 49

Most Active Tickers:
  • 🟢 Bought: BP ×2, MSFT ×2, NFLX ×2, PYPL ×2, APD ×1
  • 🔴 Sold: AMZN ×3, TTD ×2, ADI ×2, PEP ×1, ALC ×1

Recent Notable Trades:
  • 🟢 BP bought by Jonathan L. Jackson (D-H) — $15,001 - $50,000
  • 🟢 MSFT bought by Josh Gottheimer (D-H) — $50,001 - $100,000
  • 🟢 MSFT bought by Josh Gottheimer (D-H) — $500,001 - $1,000,000
  • 🔴 ORLY sold by Jonathan L. Jackson (D-H) — $15,001 - $50,000
  • 🔴 ADM sold by Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. (D-H) — $50,001 - $100,000
  • 🔴 APP sold by Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. (D-H) — $15,001 - $50,000

—
Source: STOCK Act disclosures via QuiverQuant
02 — TODAY'S PREDICTIONS

🎯 Ticker Momentum

Ranked by composite backtest score. Direction from classifier, confidence from regressor.

# Ticker Score Daily Dir Daily Conf Daily AUC Weekly Dir Weekly Conf Weekly AUC Monthly Dir Monthly Conf Monthly AUC MR Q Regime Val Coverage
1 AOS 100 📉 ↓ 74.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
2 BIO 100 📉 ↓ 58.3%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
3 FICO 100 📉 ↓ 74.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
4 HUBB 100 📉 ↓ 58.3%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
5 KEY 100 📉 ↓ 74.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
6 TXT 100 📉 ↓ 58.3%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
7 WAB 100 📉 ↓ 74.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
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Lower Confidence Picks (calibrated confidence <55% — treat with caution)

# Ticker Score Daily Dir Daily Conf Daily AUC Weekly Dir Weekly Conf Weekly AUC Monthly Dir Monthly Conf Monthly AUC MR Q Regime Val Coverage
1 COO 100 📈 ↑ 41.5%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
2 CPT 100 📉 ↓ 48.3%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
3 KEYS 100 📉 ↓ 48.3%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
4 MET 100 📈 ↑ 37.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
5 MHK 100 📈 ↑ 37.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
6 MSFT 100 📈 ↑ 37.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
7 MTCH 100 📈 ↑ 37.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
8 NI 100 📈 ↑ 41.5%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
9 OXY 100 📉 ↓ 48.3%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
10 RCL 100 📈 ↑ 37.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
11 SWK 100 📉 ↓ 48.3%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
12 TJX 100 📈 ↑ 37.1%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3
13 TRMB 100 📈 ↑ 41.5%
 — — 0.0%
 — — 0.0%
 — — — N/A 1/3

📖 Legend

⚡ Score: Composite backtest performance (0-100 scale)
Weighted: Sharpe Ratio 40% + Win Rate 35% + IC 25%

📈 ↑ BULLISH - Model indicates upward momentum

📉 ↓ BEARISH - Model indicates downward momentum

Confidence: Direction accuracy from model backtesting

AUC: Area Under ROC Curve from classifier (classification quality metric)

Val: Causal validity grade (A–F) — statistical confidence the model captures real signal rather than data-snooping artifacts.
A/B = confirmed signal  |  C = moderate  |  D = 25% size  |  F = skipped by trading engine

MR Q (Mean-Reversion Quintile): Cross-sectional rank among all predicted tickers
Q5 Most oversold — potential bounce candidate  |  Q4 Mildly oversold  |  Q3 Neutral  |  Q2 Mildly overbought  |  Q1 Most overbought — potential fade candidate

Regime: Ticker's own 50-day price trend   Bull / Bear / Neutral

Coverage: Number of timeframes with valid signals (Daily/Weekly/Monthly)

🟢 Green rows: High confidence (≥60%)

🔴 Red rows: Low confidence (<52%)

Historical accuracy: BEARISH 62% | BULLISH 41% (calibrated confidence reflects this)

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⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS

📊 MOMENTUM INDICATORS, NOT PREDICTIONS:
The signals in this report are momentum indicators, not predictive values. They reflect current technical momentum and historical patterns, but do NOT predict future price movements with certainty. Markets are inherently unpredictable and past momentum does not guarantee future direction. Use these indicators as one input among many in your research process.

💰 FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. The information provided is not intended to be used as the sole basis for any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All investments involve risk, including the potential loss of principal.

🚫 NO INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATIONS:
We do not recommend, endorse, or suggest any specific investments, securities, or trading strategies. The analysis provided is based on historical data and statistical models that may not accurately predict future market movements. Market conditions change rapidly and unpredictably.

🤖 AUTOMATED ANALYSIS:
This report is generated by automated systems using machine learning models. These models have limitations and may produce inaccurate results. Always conduct your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.

📈 SCORE METHODOLOGY:
The Score column represents a composite backtest performance metric, combining Sharpe Ratio (40%), Win Rate (35%), and Information Coefficient (25%). Higher scores indicate models with better historical backtested performance, but this does NOT guarantee future results.

📊 DATA ACCURACY:
While we strive for accuracy, we do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of any information provided. Data sources may have errors, delays, or other issues that could affect the analysis.

⚖️ LEGAL DISCLAIMER:
This service is provided 'as is' without warranties of any kind. We disclaim all warranties, express or implied, including but not limited to warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringement.

👤 INDIVIDUAL RESPONSIBILITY:
You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and their outcomes. You should conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

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